Sunday, January 27, 2019

Government Debt to GDP in the United States is expected to be 107.70 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. United States Gross Federal Debt to GDP is projected to trend around 109.00 percent in 2020

Government Debt to GDP in the United States is expected to be 107.70 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. In the long-term, the United States Gross Federal Debt to GDP is projected to trend around 109.00 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


Forecast Data. API

United States Government Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Government Debt to GDP 105.40 105.80 118.90 31.70 percent [+]
Government Budget -3.50 -3.20 4.50 -9.80 percent of GDP [+]
Government Budget Value -205000.00 -100491.00 214255.00 -231677.00 USD Million [+]
Government Spending 3192.01 3171.81 3328.05 599.63 USD Billion [+]

Why The Stimulus Won't Work: The Marginal Productivity of Debt This chart should give you pause about stimulating the US economy with more debt. What it says is that for every Dollar of new debt (private or public) we have had diminishing returns. According to Antal Fekete, if you take this chart further back, we used to get $3 of GDP for every $1 of debt. Sometime in the late '60s, the line crossed below $1, meaning every new Dollar of debt returned less than that in GDP. Antal thinks we actual went negative in 2006

Why The Stimulus Won't Work: The Marginal Productivity of Debt

This chart should give you pause about stimulating the US economy with more debt.  What it says is that for every Dollar of new debt (private or public) we have had diminishing returns.  According to Antal Fekete, if you take this chart further back, we used to get $3 of GDP for every $1 of debt.  Sometime in the late '60s, the line crossed below $1, meaning every new Dollar of debt returned less than that in GDP.  Antal thinks we actual went negative in 2006, but regardless of whether his data is the same as this chart, we are approaching that point. 

This is truly a point of no return....

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YouTube interview on US Watch Dog with

John Williams - Flight From Dollar Will Spike Gold and Silver

https://youtu.be/OPZHTTu5pnA


His website is https://shadow stats.com  by John Williams

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